Inflation risk is the risk that rising inflation will erode the purchasing power of an investor’s assets in the capital market over time. This risk is particularly relevant for fixed-income investments such as bonds, as the fixed interest rate on these securities may not keep pace with inflation.
For example, if an investor buys a bond with a fixed interest rate of 3% and inflation subsequently rises to 4%, the real return on the investment will be negative, as the purchasing power of the bond’s interest payments and principal value will be eroded by inflation.
Investors can manage inflation risk in several ways, including:
Diversification: Diversifying investments across different asset classes, such as equities or real estate, that have historically provided a hedge against inflation can help to spread the risk and reduce exposure to any one asset.
Inflation-protected securities: Inflation-protected securities, such as Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), provide a hedge against inflation by adjusting the principal value of the security based on changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Floating rate securities: As mentioned earlier, floating rate securities can be an effective way to manage interest rate risk, but they can also provide a hedge against inflation as their interest rates adjust periodically based on a benchmark interest rate that may be tied to inflation.
Real assets: Investing in real assets such as real estate, commodities, or infrastructure can provide a hedge against inflation because their values tend to rise with inflation.
Active management: Actively managing a portfolio by monitoring inflation and making changes to the portfolio in response to changing market conditions can help to minimize inflation risk. Overall, managing inflation risk requires a combination of strategies tailored to an investor’s specific needs and objectives. It is important to consider the risks and benefits of each strategy before making any investment decisions.